[Stage: receiving quotations from pooling agencies, assembling instruments for survey, funds secured]
Together with Professor Dr. Tobias Rothmund, we investigate the internal structure and complexity of conservatism scale. Briefly, the [preliminary] purpose of this enterprise is to (1) validate the original articles' findings, (2) assess comparatively the predictive validity of these scales, (3) assess the structural complexity of conservatism, (4) explore a variety of psychometric properties at both scale- and item-level and (5), propose the first adaptive conservatism test via computerized adaptive testing (CAT-IRT). Please see below for a list of conservatism scales being considered, as well as a more detailed list of objectives.
List of conservatism scales being considered
Scales being strongly considered
- Everett's Social and Economic Conservatism scale, 2013
- Zell & Bernstein's 12-item scale, 2014
- Feldman & Johnston's Social & Economic Scale, 2014
- Inbar, Pizarro & Bloom's Political issue statements scale, 2008
- Altemeyer's Right-wing Authoritarianism (RWA) Scale, 1988-1996
- Sidanius & Pratto's Social Dominance Orientation (SDO-7), 2015
- Jost's Political and Economic System Justification, 2010
Other scales being considered
- Adorno's F-Scale, 1947
- Sidanious's S-scale, 1976
- Altemeyer's Right-wing Authoritarianism (RWA) Scale, 1988
- Dukitt's Authoritarianism, Conservatism, Traditionalism scale (ACT), 2005
Objectives of the study
- Investigate whether a representative sample would reproduce the results reported in the scale's original article, which (almost always) used much lower sample sizes.
- Assess the predictive validity of these scales and rank them from most accurate to least accurate via validating questions such as "who did you vote for in the last Presidential election?" and "who do you intend to vote for in the coming Presidential election." There are many ways to do this, from simple counts or odds of correct predictions to using scale's scores as predictors at a multilevel (ordinal, IRT) models, while controlling for the political sophistication, political participation, and other classical variables in political behavior.
- Analyze the psychometric properties of the pooled items as well the individual scales. In specific, we are interested in four aspects:
- Pattern of responses on the pooled items (e.g., LCA)
- Measurement Invariance for gender, (e.g., Differential Item Functioning, DIF)
- Dimensionality of Conservatism (e.g., FA, iCLUST, mIRT)
- To provide an indication of the dimensionality and information of both items and scales.
- With pooled data, and assuming a true representative sample, the data may give indications of the dimensionality of conservatism - i.e., inform the debate between the 1-item political orientation (1-Dimenion construct) vs. social-economic conservatism (2-Dimension).
- Another idea, depending on the response pattern of subjects, is to investigate whether the GAL-TAN party structure (2-D) found using macro-level data on party-politics literature can also be found in individual-level political preferences (via conservatism scales). For example, in case we find GAL-TAN structure with response patterns, we could conceive GAL-TAN as either a consequence or as a probable cause of individual's preferences on political issues.
- Information yielded by individual items as well as scales (statistical/psychometric property gauged with Item Response Theory and/or Multi-Group CFA).
- Here, the idea is to map scales and items to a (1-D or 2-D) conservatism space.
- Ultimately, with this analysis using IRT, it would be possible to recommend items for an optimized conservatism scale which maximizes the accuracy, internal reliability, and information for the American public.
- Moreover, and contingent upon the 'found' dimensionality of the data (i.e., the study could either find evidence for the support for a uni- or bi-dimensional theoretical paradigms; or alternatively, given the subjectivity of such techniques suggest discriminative items for each both these paradigms,
- Lastly, the natural consequence of the above IRT analysis is the development of the first adaptive conservatism test via computerized adaptive testing (CAT), which is a form of computer-based test that adapts to the individual's trait level. Since this study is exploratory in nature, it allows us to pursue ambitious goals.
For more than half a century, a voter’s political ideology the most used method to predict one’s political choices. However, there is as yet no accepted, validated, and widely used ideological instrument that is concise, applicable to wide range of countries and political contexts. Furthermore, while the basic integrity of such instruments depend on having an appropriate measurement of political beliefs, several attempts in previous research relied on a 70-year-old statistical paradigm. To address both substantive and methodological gaps, we proposed a modern and innovative statistical method and developed an ideological instrument that gives emphasis on unobservable political-psychological processes unfolding in the minds of political actors. The resulting instrument is going to be tested in the US and Germany – countries whose political environments vary widely. Our objective is that this newly created political instrument is able to provide an in-depth investigation of the Australian ideological spectrum and appraise cross-cultural differences.